Title :
Risk support vector machine for predicting the trend of enterprises development
Author :
Hu, Wenliang ; Wang, Huiwen
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Econ. Manage., Beihang Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
Enterprises development trend depends on many factors such as product, distribution, manpower and market. These factors are interactive and coupling in statistic data that makes it difficult to determine which enterprise is promising and which one should transfer type. How to classify the enterprises condition and predicate their future is urgent to solution. This paper utilizes the inner production kernel function to extract the useful nonlinear information and eliminate the redundant data from statistic information. Then present a risk support vector machine to improve the classification capability of multiple variables system under disequilibrium and limit samples. Through introducing the risk probability, we can focus on the important feature and classify the enterprise with high precision, then invest the promising enterprises to realize the high-tech innovation in market. Application of Beihang Discovery Park indicates that the risk support vector machine not only can solve the problem of nonlinear feature extraction but also can realize the optimal predication classification under unbalanced and small samples with high classification precision.
Keywords :
innovation management; pattern classification; risk management; support vector machines; virtual enterprises; Beihang Discovery Park; classification precision; enterprises development trend prediction; high-tech innovation; inner production kernel function; multiple variables system classification capability; nonlinear feature extraction; nonlinear information extract; redundant data eliminate; risk probability; risk support vector machine; Data mining; Feature extraction; Kernel; Probability; Production; Statistical distributions; Statistics; Support vector machine classification; Support vector machines; Technological innovation;
Conference_Titel :
Industrial Informatics, 2009. INDIN 2009. 7th IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Cardiff, Wales
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3759-7
Electronic_ISBN :
1935-4576
DOI :
10.1109/INDIN.2009.5195799