Title :
Risk Level of Landfall Typhoons Using the P-III Distribution Function
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Geogr., Zhejiang Normal Univ., Jinhua, China
Abstract :
The typhoon recurrence interval refers to the average interval of future typhoons having a particular intensity. In this paper, typhoons that could cause serious damages to Zhejiang Province will be labeled as "disastrous typhoons", and the corresponding wind velocities will be labeled as "disastrous wind velocities". It is suggested that typhoons exceeding certain threshold-values be selected as samples for calculation, and this method is called threshold-value sampling. According to the typhoon measurement data and by using the P-III distribution function, the disastrous wind velocity of certain recurrence interval in typhoon-resistant and engineering design projects was calculated.
Keywords :
disasters; probability; risk analysis; storms; P-III distribution function; Zhejiang Province; disastrous typhoons; disastrous wind velocity; engineering design projects; landfall typhoons; probability calculation; threshold-value sampling; typhoon measurement data; typhoon recurrence interval; Design engineering; Distribution functions; Equations; Floods; Geography; Probability density function; Sampling methods; Typhoons; Velocity measurement; Wind speed;
Conference_Titel :
Computational Intelligence and Software Engineering, 2009. CiSE 2009. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4507-3
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4507-3
DOI :
10.1109/CISE.2009.5365597
