Title :
The Forecasting SO_2 Emission Based on the Grey Model in China
Author :
Xian-ling, Liao ; Ning, Chen
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Econ. & Manage., Shandong Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Qingdao, China
Abstract :
Based on the theory of grey system and the data of SO2 emission from 2002 to 2008 in China, we build a grey model GM (1, 1) for forecasting SO2 emission in China from 2009 to 2020 and test its precision. The results indicate that the forecasting model is accurate and precise, and SO2 emission could increase in the future in China. So it is difficult to realize the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" goal of SO2 emission reduction. In order to reduce the environmental pollution of SO2 emission, relative countermeasures for controlling and decreasing SO2 emission are proposed.
Keywords :
air pollution; grey systems; sulphur compounds; AD 2002 to 2008; AD 2009 to 2020; China; SO2; environmental pollution; grey model; sulphur dioxide emission forecasting; Economic forecasting; Educational institutions; Energy consumption; Environmental economics; Load forecasting; Pollution; Power generation economics; Predictive models; Technology forecasting; Technology management; Forecasting; Grey Model; SO2 Emission;
Conference_Titel :
Energy and Environment Technology, 2009. ICEET '09. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Guilin, Guangxi
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3819-8
DOI :
10.1109/ICEET.2009.497
