Title :
Dynamic Portfolio Analysis Based on Realized Higher Moments
Author :
Cui-xia, Jiang ; Jing-dong, Liu
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Math., Shandong Inst. of Bus. & Technol., Yantai, China
Abstract :
Realized higher moments, which are the expansion of realized volatility in high-frequency time series, is proposed in the paper to measure the time-varying financial risk. The dynamic assets allocation is settled by Taylor series expansion of utility function. We apply realized higher moments to portfolio analysis, and derive dynamic portfolio strategy. Our model repair two defects in traditional portfolio theory, without considering higher moments risk and settle problem statically. High frequency financial data in Chinese stock markets are selected to make empirical research. The empirical results show that higher moments risk possess volatility cluster, and dynamic portfolio is obviously superior to static portfolio.
Keywords :
investment; stock markets; time series; Chinese stock markets; Taylor series expansion; dynamic assets allocation; dynamic portfolio analysis; high frequency financial data; high-frequency time series; realized higher moments; realized volatility; time-varying financial risk; utility function; volatility cluster; Forward contracts; Frequency estimation; Frequency measurement; Mathematics; Paper technology; Portfolios; Pricing; Risk analysis; Time measurement; Time series analysis; dynamic portfolio; high-frequency; higher moments; realized volatility;
Conference_Titel :
Natural Computation, 2009. ICNC '09. Fifth International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Tianjin
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3736-8
DOI :
10.1109/ICNC.2009.273