DocumentCode :
2870425
Title :
Incorporation of statistical methods in multi-step neural network prediction models
Author :
Cloarec, Guy-Michel ; Ringwood, John
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Electron. Eng., Dublin City Univ., Ireland
Volume :
3
fYear :
1998
fDate :
4-9 May 1998
Firstpage :
2513
Abstract :
This paper addresses the problems associated with multistep ahead prediction neural networks models. We will see how some concepts from the statistical theory field can be applied in various ways to improve the modelling. The generalization and error autocorrelation problems will he addressed using topological and methodological approach among which network committees, statistical bootstrap and principal component analysis will play a key role. These methods will be applied to the sunspot time series
Keywords :
correlation theory; forecasting theory; generalisation (artificial intelligence); neural nets; statistical analysis; PCA; error autocorrelation; generalization; multistep-ahead prediction neural networks models; network committees; principal component analysis; statistical bootstrap; statistical methods; statistical theory; sunspot time series; topology; Autocorrelation; Helium; Intelligent networks; Network topology; Neural networks; Optimization methods; Predictive models; Principal component analysis; Statistical analysis; Sun;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Neural Networks Proceedings, 1998. IEEE World Congress on Computational Intelligence. The 1998 IEEE International Joint Conference on
Conference_Location :
Anchorage, AK
ISSN :
1098-7576
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-4859-1
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/IJCNN.1998.687257
Filename :
687257
Link To Document :
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