Title :
Developing technological innovation diffusion models: a framework
Author :
Kumar, Uma ; Kumar, Vinod
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Bus., Carleton Univ., Ottawa, Ont., Canada
Abstract :
A framework consisting mainly of five different approaches to generate mathematical models of the innovation diffusion process has been considered. The five approaches are associated, respectively, with the nature of the innovation diffusion process itself, biological and social diffusion processes, the concavity property of entropy measures, linear combinations of existing models, and relationships among models. In order to demonstrate the usefulness of these approaches, some of the existing models have been generated by them as examples. The capabilities and limitations of each approach are highlighted. The most desirable approach appears to be the first approach, that based on the insight into the nature of the innovation diffusion process
Keywords :
research and development management; technological forecasting; R&D management; biological diffusion; concavity; entropy measures; linear combinations; mathematical models; social diffusion; technological innovation diffusion; Aircraft; Business; Diffusion processes; Equations; Fitting; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Shape; Technological innovation; Technology forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Technology Management : the New International Language
Conference_Location :
Portland, OR
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-0161-7
DOI :
10.1109/PICMET.1991.183763