Title :
Predicting City Transportation Vehicles Using GM(1,1) with Strengthening Buffer Operators
Author :
Cui, Jie ; Ma, Hong Yan ; Yang, Xiang Yang ; Fang, Mei Lan
Author_Institution :
Fac. of Econ. & Manage., Huai Yin Inst. of Technol., Huai´´an, China
Abstract :
The smoothness of data sequence in time series forecasting has a significant impact on predictive accuracy. How to improve the modeling accuracy of a prediction model has become a very important academic issue. According to the theory of buffer operators, on the basis of the existing research results of strengthening buffer operators, we proposed a novel model building strengthening buffer operators. The problem that there are some contradictions between quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis in pretreatment for vibration data sequences is resolved effectively. An example demonstration shows that the new strengthening buffer operators presented in this paper can remarkably enhance the precision of GM(1,1)model.
Keywords :
queueing theory; time series; transportation; GM(1,1) model; city transportation vehicle prediction; data sequence smoothness; qualitative analysis; quantitative analysis; strengthening buffer operators; time series forecasting; vibration data sequences; Accuracy; Data models; Forecasting; Predictive models; Vehicles; Vibrations;
Conference_Titel :
Remote Sensing, Environment and Transportation Engineering (RSETE), 2012 2nd International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Nanjing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-0872-4
DOI :
10.1109/RSETE.2012.6260660