DocumentCode :
2886770
Title :
Towards Utility Maximization in Regression
Author :
Ribeiro, R.P.
Author_Institution :
LIAAD, Univ. do Porto, Porto, Portugal
fYear :
2012
fDate :
10-10 Dec. 2012
Firstpage :
179
Lastpage :
186
Abstract :
Utility-based learning is a key technique for addressing many real world data mining applications, where the costs/benefits are not uniform across the domain of the target variable. Still, most of the existing research has been focused on classification problems. In this paper we address a related problem. There are many relevant domains (e.g. ecological, meteorological, finance) where decisions are based on the forecast of a numeric quantity (i.e. the result of a regression model). The goal of the work on this paper is to present an evaluation framework for applications where the numeric outcome of a regression model may lead to different costs/benefits as a consequence of the actions it entails. The new metric provides a more informed estimate of the utility of any regression model, given the application-specific preference biases, and hence makes more reliable the comparison and selection between alternative regression models. We illustrate the objective of our evaluation methodology on a real-life application and also carry a set of experiments over a subset of our target regression tasks: the prediction of rare and extreme values. Results show the effectiveness of our proposed utility metric for identifying the models that perform better on this type of applications.
Keywords :
data mining; learning (artificial intelligence); regression analysis; classification problems; data mining applications; numeric quantity; regression analysis; regression model; utility based learning; utility maximization; Accuracy; Biological system modeling; Context; Equations; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Standards; Cost-sensitive learning; regression; utility-based performance estimate;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Data Mining Workshops (ICDMW), 2012 IEEE 12th International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Brussels
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-5164-5
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICDMW.2012.82
Filename :
6406439
Link To Document :
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