The application of simple thermal models to improve dynamic load models

The classical approach to load modeling is to divide the load by customer class and then identify and model the load components corresponding to each customer class. This work explores an alternative way to break down the load using readily available data. Namely, using historical usage data and historical weather data the load can be first divided into temperature-dependent and temperature-independent portions. A simple thermal model of the structure(s) served by the electrical circuit forms the theoretical and mathematical basis of this separation. During summer peaking conditions, the temperature-dependent load is generally composed of air conditioners, which must be modeled properly in order to analyze delayed voltage recovery or other dynamic phenomenon. Once the temperature-dependent fraction of the load has been characterized, the size of compressor, fan, and pump motors can be inferred by the customer class.