Title :
Long-Term Load Forecasting Using System Type Neural Network Architecture
Author :
Hobbs, Nathaniel J. ; Kim, Byoung H. ; Lee, Kwang Y.
Author_Institution :
Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park
Abstract :
This paper presents a methodology for long-term electric power demands using a semigroup based system-type neural network architecture. The assumption is that given enough data, the next year´s loads can be predicted using only components from the previous few years. This methodology is applied to recent load data, and the next year´s load data is satisfactorily forecasted. This method also provides a more in depth forecasted time interval than other methods that just predict the average or peak power demand in the interval.
Keywords :
load forecasting; neural net architecture; power engineering computing; load forecasting; load prediction; power demand; system type neural network architecture; Control systems; Economic forecasting; Environmental economics; Load flow analysis; Load forecasting; Neural networks; Power generation economics; Power industry; Power system economics; Weather forecasting; Decomposition; load forecasting; neural network; system-type architecture;
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Systems Applications to Power Systems, 2007. ISAP 2007. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Toki Messe, Niigata
Print_ISBN :
978-986-01-2607-5
Electronic_ISBN :
978-986-01-2607-5
DOI :
10.1109/ISAP.2007.4441659