Title :
A study of grey forecasting models of wheat sharp eyespot disease
Author :
Shi, Ming-wang ; Yang, Jing-ping ; Jia, Gao-feng ; Wang, Bao-zhong ; Wang, Xiao-hong
Author_Institution :
Henan Inst. of Sci. & Technol., Xinxiang
Abstract :
According to grey system theory and methods, a method for forecasting and analyzing the trend of wheat sharp eyespot disease was studied in this paper. By analyzing the disease at joining stage and white ear stage, collecting disease data of nine wheat strains in the north of Henan Province and combining statistics and epidemic, two groups of regression models and gray system models were set up for forecasting the middle-short term epidemic dynamic for resistant strain and susceptible strain.
Keywords :
crops; diseases; farming; forecasting theory; grey systems; regression analysis; forecasting model; grey system theory; regression model; wheat sharp eyespot disease; white ear stage; Capacitive sensors; Diseases; Ear; Equations; Fungi; Lesions; Pathogens; Predictive models; Statistical analysis; Weather forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, 2007. GSIS 2007. IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Nanjing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1294-5
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1294-5
DOI :
10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443355