DocumentCode
2912870
Title
A multi-series grey forecasting model based on neural network improved by genetic algorithm
Author
Liu Jian-Yong ; Li Ling ; Zhang Yong-Li ; Li Yan
Author_Institution
PLA Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Nanjing
fYear
2007
fDate
18-20 Nov. 2007
Firstpage
684
Lastpage
688
Abstract
Traditional Grey GM(1,1) Model had its defect when it was applied to forecast relative data series. The relationship between different data series can´t be reflected properly. In order to solve the problem, artificial neural network (ANN) is combined to forecast multi-series data. Then the network optimization is aided by improved genetic algorithm (GA). So the network weights and thresholds were self-adaptively evolved. Then a hybrid grey model combined with ANN and GA was put forward. Based on Matlab program, the simulation example shows that the hybrid algorithm improves the forecasting precision. It can provide effective help for forecasting work.
Keywords
backpropagation; forecasting theory; genetic algorithms; grey systems; neural nets; series (mathematics); Matlab program; backpropagation neural network; genetic algorithm; multiseries data grey forecasting model; network optimization; Artificial neural networks; Convergence; Data handling; Genetic algorithms; Intelligent networks; Intelligent systems; Mathematical model; Neural networks; Predictive models; Programmable logic arrays;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, 2007. GSIS 2007. IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location
Nanjing
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-1294-5
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-1294-5
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443361
Filename
4443361
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