• DocumentCode
    2912870
  • Title

    A multi-series grey forecasting model based on neural network improved by genetic algorithm

  • Author

    Liu Jian-Yong ; Li Ling ; Zhang Yong-Li ; Li Yan

  • Author_Institution
    PLA Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Nanjing
  • fYear
    2007
  • fDate
    18-20 Nov. 2007
  • Firstpage
    684
  • Lastpage
    688
  • Abstract
    Traditional Grey GM(1,1) Model had its defect when it was applied to forecast relative data series. The relationship between different data series can´t be reflected properly. In order to solve the problem, artificial neural network (ANN) is combined to forecast multi-series data. Then the network optimization is aided by improved genetic algorithm (GA). So the network weights and thresholds were self-adaptively evolved. Then a hybrid grey model combined with ANN and GA was put forward. Based on Matlab program, the simulation example shows that the hybrid algorithm improves the forecasting precision. It can provide effective help for forecasting work.
  • Keywords
    backpropagation; forecasting theory; genetic algorithms; grey systems; neural nets; series (mathematics); Matlab program; backpropagation neural network; genetic algorithm; multiseries data grey forecasting model; network optimization; Artificial neural networks; Convergence; Data handling; Genetic algorithms; Intelligent networks; Intelligent systems; Mathematical model; Neural networks; Predictive models; Programmable logic arrays;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, 2007. GSIS 2007. IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Nanjing
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-1294-5
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-1294-5
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443361
  • Filename
    4443361