Title :
Application of Takagi-Sugeon fuzzy system to regional economy modeling
Author :
He, Yong ; Zhu, Kejun
Author_Institution :
China Univ. of Geosciences, Hubei
Abstract :
This paper applies fuzzy system to establish the input-ouput model of China´s regional economy. As the relation between production factors and economic output is nonlinear and complicated, the black-box nature can be resolved by fuzzy system. Firstly, according to Cobb-Douglas production function, select capital assets, human capital, plowland as input factors, GDP as economic output; secondly, divide 31 areas into three clusters based on economic development lever; finally, construct the Takagi-Sugeon model by fuzzy neural network, and three fuzzy if-then rules are abstracted. The result shows that the fuzzy model has better simulation precision than traditional regression, and the fuzzy rules can give valuable decision-making for regional economic growth macroscopically.
Keywords :
backpropagation; decision making; decision theory; economic indicators; fuzzy neural nets; fuzzy reasoning; fuzzy systems; knowledge based systems; macroeconomics; public administration; China macroscopic regional economic growth modeling; Cobb-Douglas production function; Gross Domestic Product; Takagi-Sugeon fuzzy system; backpropagation algorithm; decision making; fuzzy if-then rule reasoning; fuzzy neural network; fuzzy rule-based system; Brain modeling; Economic forecasting; Engines; Fuzzy neural networks; Fuzzy systems; Helium; Humans; Knowledge based systems; Predictive models; Production systems;
Conference_Titel :
Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, 2007. GSIS 2007. IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Nanjing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1294-5
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1294-5
DOI :
10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443417