DocumentCode :
2914025
Title :
A fuzzy-grey optimizing prediction model based on the fuzzy membership function
Author :
Hongzhuan, Chen
Author_Institution :
NO. 29, Yudao Street, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, PR. China
fYear :
2007
fDate :
18-20 Nov. 2007
Firstpage :
1028
Lastpage :
1030
Abstract :
This paper presents an optimizing fuzzy-grey prediction model in accordance with the phenomena that have different behaviors at different time. With the grey theory and fuzzy theory, we designed the ratio by the fuzzy membership function. Thus the ratio is variable to compensate for the limitation of GM(1,1) model, in which the ratio is a constant 0.5. Since some phenomena present different specific behaviors at different time, we constructed data groups to reduce the size of the targets and combined fuzzification techniques with the grey theory to develop a fuzzy grey prediction model as one of predicting function to predict the possible answer immediately and accurately. To demonstrate that our model is working correctly, we used this model to predict electricity every month in one year and got good results. The facts illustrate that the fuzzy-grey optimizing model shows many advantages as shown in this paper.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; fuzzy set theory; grey systems; optimisation; fuzzy membership function; fuzzy-grey optimizing prediction model; Automatic control; Differential equations; Economic forecasting; Fuzzy systems; History; Intelligent systems; Prediction methods; Predictive models; Statistics; Time varying systems;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, 2007. GSIS 2007. IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Nanjing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1294-5
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1294-5
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443428
Filename :
4443428
Link To Document :
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