Predicting short interval tracking polls with online social media

The of behavioral patterns in online social media are often reflecting the happenings in our society. These patterns, which can be considered as opinions, are often correlated with public opinion polling. However, many correlation analyses done previously were for subsequent discoveries and not being able to handle short interval polling opinions. For opinions obtained from tracking polling with short opinion collection interval, like rolling polling, it cannot perform well in tracing the latest trends. This paper describes an extended correlation model for such kind of polling in examining the correlation between opinion in online social media and the public opinion from tracking poll. It has been tested with a recent rolling polling and it outperformed the previous correlation models.