Title :
Probabilistic Load Flow Analysis Considering Power System Random Factors and Their Relevance
Author :
Dong Lei ; Lao Liyuan ; Yang Yihan ; Luo Jing
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Electr. & Electron. Eng., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
New energy powers such as wind power and solar power technology taken into the power system increase random fluctuation in the system, and therefore threshold-crossing problem of nodal voltage and load flow are becoming increasingly more significant. Based on semi-invariant and Gram-Charlier series, the paper considers the randomness of the generator and load, nodes relevance, random slip of branches and branches relevance to study probabilistic load flow, focuses on the influence of nodes relevance and relevance among branches random slip on probabilistic load flow, and confirmed that is necessary to consider the relevance among nodes and branches random failure. In addition, we consider the complementary between wind power and photovoltaic power generation, use the method to analyze probabilistic load flow of IEEE30 bus system with wind power and photovoltaic power, and get probability density curve of the node voltage and load flow. Simulation results show that wind and solar can reduce the randomness of wind power impact on the system.
Keywords :
load flow; photovoltaic power systems; probability; wind power plants; Gram-Charlier series; IEEE30 bus system; nodal voltage; photovoltaic power generation; power system random factors; probabilistic load flow analysis; random failure; random fluctuation; semiinvariant series; solar power; threshold-crossing problem; wind power; Correlation; Load flow; Mathematical model; Power system stability; Probabilistic logic; Wind power generation;
Conference_Titel :
Power and Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC), 2011 Asia-Pacific
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-6253-7
DOI :
10.1109/APPEEC.2011.5748376