DocumentCode :
2931013
Title :
Investment bubble formation mechanism of Centipede Game based on grey integration and forwards induction
Author :
Fang Zhigeng ; Shui Lulu
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Econ. & Manage., Nanjing Univ. of Aeronaut. & Astronaut., Nanjing, China
fYear :
2013
fDate :
15-17 Nov. 2013
Firstpage :
354
Lastpage :
358
Abstract :
The investment process of decision-making in the economical system is a multi-agent-stage dynamic process, and bubble is generated, until it burst in the game among various economic entities. The paper constructs a Centipede Game network model of investment equilibrium-adjusted based on grey integration and forwards induction, and regulars the method framework based on grey integration and forwards induction; analyzing the formation mechanism of the bubble and invoking the concept system of Centipede Game network model, the paper divides the bubbles to integral bubble, structural bubble and frictional bubble according to the characteristics of bubble generation process; and verifies the validity of the model by taking Nanjing´s real estate market as an example.
Keywords :
game theory; grey systems; investment; network theory (graphs); Nanjing; bubble generation process; centipede game network model; decision making; economic entities; economical system; forwards induction; frictional bubble; grey integration; integral bubble; investment bubble formation mechanism; investment equilibrium-adjustment; multiagent-stage dynamic process; real estate market; structural bubble; Analytical models; Economic indicators; Educational institutions; Games; Investment; Nash equilibrium; Centipede Game; Nash equilibrium; grey integration; investment bubble;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, 2013 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Macao
ISSN :
2166-9430
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-5247-5
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/GSIS.2013.6714807
Filename :
6714807
Link To Document :
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