Title :
On the uncertainty of estimating global climate change and its potential impacts on vegetation
Author :
Kainuma, M. ; Matsuoka, Y. ; Morita, T.
Author_Institution :
Nat. Inst. for Environ. Studies, Tsukuba, Japan
Abstract :
We have developed an Asian-Pacific integrated model (AIM) that is a large-scale model for scenario analyses of greenhouse gas emissions and the impacts of global warming in the Asian-Pacific region. The AIM comprises two main models - the AIM/emission model for predicting greenhouse gas emissions and the AIM/impact model for estimating the impacts of global warming. With this model, we have estimated CO2 emissions based on future predictions of socioeconomic and natural factors taking into account various uncertainties. Next, assuming climate change scenarios deduced from AIM/emission and general circulation model (GCM) experiments, primacy impacts on natural vegetation have been assessed spatially
Keywords :
air pollution; atmospheric temperature; climatology; natural resources; Asian-Pacific integrated model; CO2 emissions; global climate change estimation uncertainty; global warming; greenhouse gas emissions; large-scale model; natural factors; scenario analyses; socioeconomic factors; vegetation; Clouds; Economic forecasting; Environmental economics; Global warming; Large scale integration; Power generation economics; Predictive models; Production; Uncertainty; Vegetation;
Conference_Titel :
Fuzzy Systems, 1995. International Joint Conference of the Fourth IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems and The Second International Fuzzy Engineering Symposium., Proceedings of 1995 IEEE Int
Conference_Location :
Yokohama
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-2461-7
DOI :
10.1109/FUZZY.1995.409677
