DocumentCode :
2936362
Title :
Forecasting the demand for new telecommunication services
Author :
Skouby, Knud Erik ; Veiro, Blorn
Author_Institution :
Inst. of Social Sci., Tech. Univ. of Denmark, Lyngby, Denmark
fYear :
1991
fDate :
2-5 Dec 1991
Firstpage :
1043
Abstract :
A forecasting method that is applicable for new services, where little historical data have been recorded, is proposed. The method uses estimators based on economical, demographic and traffic data. Compared to traditional forecasting procedures that are built upon a solid historical record of data, the method is clearly found to be weaker numerically. However, for novel services it has the advantage that it provides a result, where the traditional method would fail because the data record is too weak. Furthermore, the method has the advantage that as soon as further data become available, it can be refined to provide even better results
Keywords :
telecommunication services; demographic data; economical data; estimators; forecasting method; new telecommunication services; service demand; traffic data; Demand forecasting; Econometrics; Economic forecasting; Graphics; Predictive models; Solids; Telecommunication services; Telecommunication traffic; Telephony; Traffic control;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Global Telecommunications Conference, 1991. GLOBECOM '91. 'Countdown to the New Millennium. Featuring a Mini-Theme on: Personal Communications Services
Conference_Location :
Phoenix, AZ
Print_ISBN :
0-87942-697-7
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/GLOCOM.1991.188537
Filename :
188537
Link To Document :
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