Patients Flow: A Mixed-Effects Modelling Approach to Predicting Discharge Probabilities

A mixed effects approach hereby introduced to patients flow and length of stay modelling. In, particular, a class of generalized linear mixed models has been used to demonstrate the usefulness of this approach. This modelling technique is used to capture individual patients experience during the process of care as represented by their pathways through the system. The approach could predict the probability of discharge from the system, as well as detect where the system may be going wrong.