• DocumentCode
    2959944
  • Title

    Stock Forecast Method Based on Wavelet Modulus Maxima and Kalman Filter

  • Author

    Fang, Zhijun ; Luo, Guihua ; Fei, Fengchang ; Li, Shuai

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Inf. Technol., Jiangxi Univ. of Finance & Econ., Nanchang, China
  • fYear
    2010
  • fDate
    23-24 Oct. 2010
  • Firstpage
    50
  • Lastpage
    53
  • Abstract
    Stock market has gradually become an absolutely necessary part of financial market in China. The trend analysis and forecasting of stock prices become key topics in investment and security, which have great theoretical significance and application value. In this paper, the wavelet modulus maxima method is proposed for the abnormal detection of the stock market. The abnormal points detected by wavelet modulus maxima are replaced by the new interpolation points which will be used as an important index of Kalman algorithm to predict stock. The experimental results show that the proposed method can predict the stock data with higher credibility than Kalman algorithm. Therefore, the proposed method can reduce the investment risk and plays an important role in the economic development and financial building.
  • Keywords
    Kalman filters; forecasting theory; prediction theory; pricing; stock control; stock markets; China; Kalman filter; economic development; financial building; financial market; investment risk; stock forecast method; stock market; stock prices; wavelet modulus maxima method; Fluctuations; Industries; Kalman filters; Maximum likelihood detection; Nonlinear filters; Stock markets; Wavelet transforms; Kalman; Modulus Maxima; Stock; Wavelet;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Management of e-Commerce and e-Government (ICMeCG), 2010 Fourth International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Chengdu
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-8507-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICMeCG.2010.19
  • Filename
    5628630