• DocumentCode
    2960288
  • Title

    Application of Short-term Traffic Flow Forecast in Selecting the Optimal Route

  • Author

    Bing-Chuan, Zhang ; Bin-Bing, Li ; Da-Wei, Liu ; Shu-Hui, Zhang

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Postgraduates, Eng. Collage of CAPF, Xi´´an, China
  • Volume
    1
  • fYear
    2011
  • fDate
    28-29 March 2011
  • Firstpage
    768
  • Lastpage
    771
  • Abstract
    According to the affect of short-term traffic-flow in the Force´s optimal maneuver route choice, this paper primarily analyzed the short-term traffic flow forecast arithmetic, and then selected one combined forecast arithmetic based on the Grey Theory and Markov Chain. After forecasted one major road´s short-term traffic-flow and implemented in one example, it indicated that the combined arithmetic has better prediction accuracy, the active error was 8.768%, and it satisfied the time limit requirement in the Force´s optimal maneuver route choice.
  • Keywords
    Markov processes; grey systems; road traffic; Markov chain; grey theory; optimal route; short term traffic flow forecast; Accuracy; Data models; Force; Forecasting; Markov processes; Predictive models; Roads; ArcGIS Network Analyst; Path Guidance System; Short-term Traffic flow forecast;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Intelligent Computation Technology and Automation (ICICTA), 2011 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Shenzhen, Guangdong
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-61284-289-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICICTA.2011.199
  • Filename
    5750733