Title :
Combining LISREL and Bayesian network to predict tourism loyalty
Author :
Hsu, Chi-I ; Shih, Meng-Long ; Biing-Wen Huang ; Bing-Yi Lin ; Lin, Bing-Yi
Author_Institution :
Kainan Univ., Taoyuan
Abstract :
This study proposes an analytic approach that combines LISREL and Bayesian networks (BN) to examine factors influencing tourism loyalty and predict a touristpsilas loyalty level. LISREL is used to verify the hypothesized relationships proposed in the research model. Subsequently, the supported relationships are used as the BN network structure for prediction. 452 valid samples were collected from tourists with the tour experience of the Toyugi hot spring resort, Taiwan. Compared with other prediction methods, our approach yielded better results than those of back-propagation neural networks (BPN) or classification and regression trees (CART) for 10-fold cross-validation.
Keywords :
belief networks; mathematics computing; statistical analysis; travel industry; Bayesian network; LISREL statistical software package; Toyugi hot spring resort; back-propagation neural network; classification method; regression tree; tourism loyalty prediction; Bayesian methods; Classification tree analysis; Neural networks; Prediction methods; Regression tree analysis; Springs;
Conference_Titel :
Neural Networks, 2008. IJCNN 2008. (IEEE World Congress on Computational Intelligence). IEEE International Joint Conference on
Conference_Location :
Hong Kong
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1820-6
Electronic_ISBN :
1098-7576
DOI :
10.1109/IJCNN.2008.4634220