Title :
R&D project planning with multiple trials in uncertain environments
Author :
Creemers, Stefan ; De Reyck, Bert ; Leus, Roel
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Decision Sci. & Inf. Manage., Katholieke Univ. Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
Abstract :
We study project scheduling when individual activities carry a risk of failure, and where an activity´s failure may lead to the project´s overall failure. In the project planning and scheduling literature, this technological uncertainty has typically been ignored and project plans are developed only for scenarios in which the project succeeds. To mitigate the risk that an activity´s failure jeopardizes the entire project, more than one alternative may exist for obtaining certain results, and these alternatives can be implemented either in parallel or sequentially, allowing to model the pursuit of alternative technologies.
Keywords :
production planning; project management; research and development; risk management; scheduling; activity failure; project risk; project scheduling; research and development; risk mitigation; technological uncertainty; Job shop scheduling; Optimal scheduling; Project management; Research and development; Research and development management; Risk management; Scheduling algorithm; Stochastic processes; Technology planning; Uncertainty; alternative technologies; exponential distribution; net present value; project planning; stochastic activity durations; uncertainty;
Conference_Titel :
Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, 2009. IEEM 2009. IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Hong Kong
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4869-2
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4870-8
DOI :
10.1109/IEEM.2009.5373349