Poisson Prediction of the Loss of Teachers in High Schools

It is a key to the sustainable development and stability of colleges and universities education to predict the loss of college teachers. This paper analyzes the historic statistics and applies Chi-square test to do a hypothesis test on the distribution of intervals between two successive teachers´ losses. It also sets up prediction models for the loss based on Poisson Process Theory. After some empirical analysis, it draws a conclusion and provides a new approach to forecast the staff turnover in colleges and universities.