Title :
Research on Influence of Wind Uncertainty on Reliability of Electric System
Author :
Yanfu, Zhang ; Jiangbo, Wang ; Luomeng, Zhang ; Rongshan, Liang
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Bus. Adm., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
Based on the analysis of wind uncertainty of wind farm and the loss of load expectation (LOLE), this paper builds a LOLE model associated with the probability distribution of equivalent generation capacity which is estimated by iterative convolution method, studies the influence of wind integration on the reliability of the system, and finally, it proves the rationality of the model by a simulation example.
Keywords :
iterative methods; power generation reliability; statistical distributions; wind power plants; LOLE model; electric system reliability; equivalent generation capacity; iterative convolution method; loss of load expectation; probability distribution; wind farm; wind integration; wind uncertainty analysis; Load modeling; Power system reliability; Reliability; Uncertainty; Wind forecasting; Wind power generation; loss of load expectation; reliability; uncertainty; wind power;
Conference_Titel :
Electrical and Control Engineering (ICECE), 2010 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-6880-5
DOI :
10.1109/iCECE.2010.996
