Title :
Spares Consumption Quota Model Based on BP Neural Network
Author :
Chen-yu, Liu ; Feng, Guo ; Yuan-lei, Li ; Su-qin, Zhang
Author_Institution :
Naval Aeronaut. Eng. Acad., Qingdao, China
Abstract :
Spares have many kinds and complex specifications, its prediction is difficult, for the problem, the paper proposes the use of nonlinear characteristics of BP neural networks and self-learning ability, based on historical data of spares consumption trains the network of all spares to determine its network model, and used for the future consumption forecast for next year. Through the predictive value and actual value correction, combined with the fill rate of the spares, and ultimately determine the future consumption of next year. The example shows that the model has a greater accuracy and practicality.
Keywords :
backpropagation; forecasting theory; learning (artificial intelligence); neural nets; supply chains; BP neural networks; actual value correction; consumption forecast; historical data; information supply; nonlinear characteristics; predictive value correction; self-learning ability; spares consumption quota model; Accuracy; Biological neural networks; Data models; Neurons; Predictive models; Time series analysis; Training; BP neural network; consumption quota; prediction; spares;
Conference_Titel :
Computational Intelligence and Security (CIS), 2011 Seventh International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Hainan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4577-2008-6
DOI :
10.1109/CIS.2011.95