Title :
Simulation of imperfect information in vulnerability modeling for infrastructure facilities
Author :
Jones, Dean A. ; Turnquist, Mark A. ; Nozick, Linda K.
Author_Institution :
Sandia Nat. Labs., Albuquerque, NM
Abstract :
A model of malicious intrusions in infrastructure facilities is developed that uses a network representation of the system structure together with Markov models of intruder progress and strategy. Simulation is used to analyze varying levels of imperfect information on the part of the intruders in planning their attacks. This provides an explicit mechanism to estimate the probability of successful breaches of physical security, and to evaluate potential means to reduce that probability
Keywords :
Markov processes; probability; security of data; Markov models; imperfect information simulation; infrastructure facilities; malicious intrusions; network representation; physical security; vulnerability modeling; Analytical models; Data security; Information analysis; Information security; Information systems; Intelligent networks; Protection; Terrorism; Transportation; Weapons;
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference, 2005 Proceedings of the Winter
Conference_Location :
Orlando, FL
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-9519-0
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2005.1574346
