DocumentCode
3000703
Title
Fast simulation for multifactor portfolio credit risk in the t-copula model
Author
Kang, Wanmo ; Shahabuddin, Perwez
Author_Institution
New Product Res., Moody´´s KMV, New York, NY, USA
fYear
2005
fDate
4-7 Dec. 2005
Abstract
We present an importance sampling procedure for the estimation of multifactor portfolio credit risk for the t -copula model, i.e, the case where the risk factors have the multivariate t distribution. We use a version of the multivariate t that can be expressed as a ratio of a multivariate normal and a scaled chi-square random variable. The procedure consists of two steps. First, using the large deviations result for the Gaussian model in Glasserman, Kang, and Shahabuddin (2005a), we devise and apply a change of measure to the chi-square random variable. Then, conditional on the chi-square random variable, we apply the importance sampling procedure developed for the Gaussian copula model in Glasserman, Kang, Shahabuddin (2005b). We support our importance sampling procedure by numerical examples.
Keywords
Gaussian processes; financial management; importance sampling; risk management; Gaussian copula model; chi-square random variable; fast simulation; importance sampling procedure; multifactor portfolio credit risk estimation; multivariate distribution; risk factor; Approximation error; Gaussian distribution; Monte Carlo methods; Portfolios; Probability distribution; Random variables;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Simulation Conference, 2005 Proceedings of the Winter
Print_ISBN
0-7803-9519-0
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/WSC.2005.1574462
Filename
1574462
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