DocumentCode
3015066
Title
Maritime weather prediction using fuzzy logic in java sea
Author
Aisjah, Aulia Siti ; Arifin, Syamsul
Author_Institution
Eng. Phys. Dept., FTI - ITS, Surabaya, Indonesia
fYear
2011
fDate
15-17 Nov. 2011
Firstpage
205
Lastpage
208
Abstract
Fuzzy logic has mostly been used in different kind of field either in taking decision, or control system and forecasting. Fuzzy logic is one that can represent a complex situation into a simple form in a language that is easily caught by humans. Similarly, to represent the nature of weather easily understood by ordinary people, this is the result of weather forecasting based on meteorological data. Some of the statistical methods used for weather forecasting are Auto Regressive (AR), Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and found some shortcomings of these traditional method. That is the need for historical data is not small, low-prediction accuracy results in a complex condition. This paper describes the strategy in weather forecasting based on fuzzy logic for maritime weather. Case studies conducted in the Java Sea, cruise lines Surabaya- Banjarmasin. The results showed that the level of accuracy prediction for 86.64% of the Java Sea, and prediction accuracy decreased for the next 24 hours ahead. Predictors of ability to demonstrate the ability to detect anomalous high sea waves in the waters of the Java Sea.
Keywords
atmospheric techniques; fuzzy logic; geophysics computing; ocean waves; seawater; weather forecasting; ARIMA; Indonesia; Java Sea; Surabaya-Banjarmasin cruise line; anomalous sea waves; autoregressive method; fuzzy logic; integrated moving average method; maritime weather prediction; prediction accuracy; weather forecasting; Humans; Interpolation; Fuzzy; Java sea; forecast; high wave; wheather;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Instrumentation Control and Automation (ICA), 2011 2nd International Conference on
Conference_Location
Bandung
Print_ISBN
978-1-4577-1462-7
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICA.2011.6130157
Filename
6130157
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