Title :
Interval type 2 fuzzy logic for significant wave height forecasting
Author :
Hashim, Muhamad Arif ; Jaafar, Jafreezal ; Taib, S.M.
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Comput. & Inf. Sci., Univ. Teknol. PETRONAS, Tronoh, Malaysia
Abstract :
These days, fuzzy logic system has widely been applied in many applications, including wave forecasting. In current fuzzy logic development, researchers have started to use interval type 2 fuzzy as a solution to solve the uncertainties problem. The aim of this research is to propose a method to forecast significant wave height by using interval type 2 fuzzy logic. As part of the research, this paper focuses on two objectives; to extend type-1 fuzzy to type-2 fuzzy by assigning uncertainty to its type 1 counterpart and to predict significant wave height for 1 hour, 3 hours, 6 hours, 12 hours and 24 hours lead time. The root mean square error (RMSE) has been used to score the performance of both type 1 and type 2 fuzzy methods. The best result has shown at 6 hours lead time with RMSE of 0.1529.
Keywords :
fuzzy logic; mean square error methods; RMSE; fuzzy methods; interval type 2 fuzzy logic; root mean square error; significant wave height forecasting; Decision support systems; Intelligent systems; Significant wave height; forecasting; hindcasting; subtractive clustering; type-2 fuzzy;
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Systems Design and Applications (ISDA), 2012 12th International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Kochi
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-5117-1
DOI :
10.1109/ISDA.2012.6416638