Title :
Study on the Forecast of Air Passenger Flow Based on SVM Regression Algorithm
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Econ. & Manage., Jiangsu Teachers Univ. of Technol., Changzhou, China
Abstract :
The forecast of air passenger flow plays an important role in the management of airline, but the traditional forecast methods can´t guarantee the generalization capability when they face a large-scale, multi-dimension, nonlinear and non-normal distribution time series data. To improve the forecast ability of air passenger flow, the SVM regression algorithm is introduced in this paper. By selecting appropriate parameters and kernel function, compared with the other two forecast methods, we find that the result obtained by SVM regression algorithm shows the least error among the mentioned three methods.
Keywords :
airports; forecasting theory; regression analysis; support vector machines; transportation; travel industry; SVM regression algorithm; air passenger flow forecast; airline management; kernel function; parameter selection; Databases; Economic forecasting; Kernel; Large-scale systems; Linear regression; Management training; Multidimensional systems; Support vector machines; Technology forecasting; Technology management; Air passenger flow; Forecast; Support vector machine (SVM) regression algorithm;
Conference_Titel :
Database Technology and Applications, 2009 First International Workshop on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan, Hubei
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3604-0
DOI :
10.1109/DBTA.2009.33