Title :
Construction of Combination Forecasting Model and Related Validation -- Based on Combined Forecast of Sales Tax and Enterprise Income Tax in Heilongjiang Province
Author :
Defa, Cai ; Jing, Cai
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Finance & Public Manage., Harbin Univ. of Commerce, Harbin, China
Abstract :
The value of forecast lies in the prophet of future, and having an important impact on decision-making, Therefore, from the relevant of taxation and economic angle, using analytical methods integrating qualitative and quantitative analysis, based on macroeconomic indicators data of Heilongjiang Province since 1999, through the building of combined forecast model, It is going to forecast revenue organized by the local tax departments in the future 3 years, and provide intellectual support for decision-making of the local government. Studies have shown that predicted results through the authentication, are in line with the actual.
Keywords :
decision making; economic forecasting; economic indicators; local government; macroeconomics; taxation; Heilongjiang Province; decision-making; economic angle; enterprise income tax; forecasting model; intellectual support; local government; local tax department; macroeconomic indicator; revenue; sales tax; taxation; Biological system modeling; Data models; Indexes; Marketing and sales; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Time series analysis; combined forecast; forecast model; tax model;
Conference_Titel :
Cryptography and Network Security, Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery, E-Commerce & Its Applications and Embedded Systems (CDEE), 2010 First ACIS International Symposium on
Conference_Location :
Qinhuangdao
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-9595-5
DOI :
10.1109/CDEE.2010.98