ESA SEPEM project: Peak flux and fluence model

Author

Jiggens, Piers T A ; Gabriel, Stephen B. ; Heynderickx, Daniel ; Crosby, Norma ; Glover, Alexi ; Hilgers, Alain

Author_Institution

ESA/ESTEC, Noordwijk, Netherlands

fYear

2011

fDate

19-23 Sept. 2011

Firstpage

549

Lastpage

564

Abstract

A new modelling methodology for the prediction of the solar proton environment a 1 AU is presented. This new method named Virtual Timelines is applied to the SEPEM Reference Event List derived from a long flu time series of space-based measurements to produce the SEPEM model for proton peak flux and fluence at 1 AU. There are several new components including the use of the Lévy distribution for time distributions and the accounting for the non-poin-like nature of SEP events.

Keywords

protons; radiation effects; solar flares; solar radiation; statistical analysis; ESA SEPEM project; Lévy distribution; SEP events; SEPEM reference event list; long flu time series; probabilistic models; proton peak flux model; solar flares; solar proton environment; space-based measurements; time distributions; virtual timelines; Instruments; Monte Carlo methods; Predictive models; Protons; Space vehicles; Time frequency analysis; Time series analysis; SEPs; fluence; peak flux; probabilistic model; statistical model;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Radiation and Its Effects on Components and Systems (RADECS), 2011 12th European Conference on

Conference_Location

Sevilla

ISSN

0379-6566

Print_ISBN

978-1-4577-0585-4

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/RADECS.2011.6131436

Filename

6131436