DocumentCode
3039444
Title
A New Approach to Improve the Overall Accuracy and the Filter Value Accuracy of the GM (1,1) New-Information and GM (1,1) Metabolic Models
Author
Khuman, Arjab Singh ; Yingjie Yang ; John, Ranjith
Author_Institution
Centre for Comput. Intell., De Montfort Univ., Leicester, UK
fYear
2013
fDate
13-16 Oct. 2013
Firstpage
1282
Lastpage
1287
Abstract
Grey system theory has many facets, one of which is the so-called GM(1,1) model, used for predicting and forecasting. This paper proposes a novel way of improving the overall relative accuracy of the new-information grey model, and the metabolic grey model, and also by improving the filter value accuracy. By incorporating a weight sequence that is populated by a genetic algorithm to minimize the error of the simulated values. The least square parameters (-a) and b, can then be scaled by the values contained in the weight sequence, until a satisfactory result is obtained. If a high level of accuracy can be attained for the simulation values of the model, and also for the filter value, it will ultimately allow for greater forecasting ability.
Keywords
forecasting theory; genetic algorithms; grey systems; GM (1,1) metabolic model; GM (1,1) new-information model; error minimisation; filter value accuracy improvement; forecasting ability; genetic algorithm; grey system theory; metabolic grey model; new-information grey model; overall accuracy improvement; overall relative accuracy improvement; prediction; weight sequence; Accuracy; Biological system modeling; Computational modeling; Data models; Genetic algorithms; Predictive models; Sociology;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (SMC), 2013 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location
Manchester
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/SMC.2013.222
Filename
6721975
Link To Document