Title :
MEDEX: a fuzzy system for forecasting Mediterranean gale force winds
Author :
Hadjimichael, Michael ; Kuciauskas, Arunas P. ; Brody, L. Robin ; Bankert, Richard L. ; Tag, Paul M.
Author_Institution :
Naval Res. Lab., Monterey, CA, USA
Abstract :
This paper presents an implementation of a fuzzy rule-based system for predicting the onset and cessation of seven gale-force winds in the Mediterranean region. The rules were compiled by several meteorological experts, and implemented using a commercial software package. Significant issues included the specification of loosely defined variables, and the treatment of the system user´s uncertainty and inexperience. Preliminary results show predicted wind onset and cessation likelihoods consistent with the experts´ expectations and actual weather observations
Keywords :
expert systems; fuzzy set theory; fuzzy systems; geophysics computing; storms; weather forecasting; wind; MEDEX; Mediterranean gale force winds; cessation likelihood; commercial software package; fuzzy rule-based system; geophysics computing; inexperience; meteorological experts; onset likelihood; software package; storm; uncertainty; weather forecasting; weather observations; Expert systems; Fuzzy systems; Hybrid intelligent systems; Knowledge based systems; Laboratories; Meteorology; Software packages; Uncertainty; Weather forecasting; Wind forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Fuzzy Systems, 1996., Proceedings of the Fifth IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
New Orleans, LA
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-3645-3
DOI :
10.1109/FUZZY.1996.551796
