Title :
Debris flow hazard assessment based on Monte Carlo simulation
Author :
Wang, Xuedong ; Li, Guangjie ; You, Bing
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Constr. Eng., Jilin Univ., Changchun, China
Abstract :
This Screening several factors in debris flow hazard assessment is carried out based on the infinite irrelevance method, it eliminates some factors of overlap information too much. The ratios of importance between indices as given by experts are always an dot of ratios for construction of judgment matrix in analytic hierarchy process (AHP). Due to the drawback of AHP, a debris flow hazard assessment method based on Monte Carlo simulation as a stochastic one is therefore presented. The dot assignment can be extended to the interval assignment. Then, using the statistical method gives the results of debris flow hazard assessment, this method has more accuracy and generalization. Finally, the method is proved to be feasible and reliable by an actual example. And it provides a new method for weight determining on debris flow hazard assessment.
Keywords :
Monte Carlo methods; decision making; hazardous materials; Monte Carlo simulation; analytic hierarchy process; debris flow hazard assessment; dot assignment; infinite irrelevance method; interval assignment; judgment matrix; overlap information; statistical method; weight determining; Analytical models; Correlation; Geology; Hazards; Indexes; Monte Carlo methods; Numerical models; AHP; Debris flow; Monte Carlo simulation; hazard assessment; infinite irrelevance method;
Conference_Titel :
Multimedia Technology (ICMT), 2011 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Hangzhou
Print_ISBN :
978-1-61284-771-9
DOI :
10.1109/ICMT.2011.6002921