DocumentCode
3049861
Title
Repair models of power distribution components
Author
Zapata, J. ; Silva, C. ; Burbano, L.
Author_Institution
Univ. Tecnol. de Pereira, Pereira
fYear
2008
fDate
13-15 Aug. 2008
Firstpage
1
Lastpage
6
Abstract
For reliability assessments of power distribution systems it has been customary to represent the failure and repair processes of the components by exponential models. A problem with this practice is that in many cases it is not checked if component operating data really fits to exponential models. Regarding repair times, several references have claimed they are generally not exponentially distributed but lognormally. For the case of power system components, a review of the literature shows this subject is not treated in dept and the most common information about repair times is given in the form of mean values i.e. point estimators not probabilistic models. Thus, using real data, a study on the modeling of repair times for 46 classes of power distribution components was carried out. The main results are: 1. Repair times have a very high variability; thus, results of analysis based only on their mean values should be used with caution. 2. Only for a half of the studied classes the exponential model is valid, but in contrast, the log-normal distribution is valid for all them; this means, if a model for repair times of power distribution components is to be assumed the lognormal distribution is the one to be chosen, and, for system reliability assessments, analysts should consider the Montecarlo simulation method that is not restricted to exponential modeling.
Keywords
Monte Carlo methods; failure analysis; log normal distribution; power distribution reliability; Montecarlo simulation method; exponential models; lognormal distribution; power distribution system; reliability assessments; Aging; Analytical models; Failure analysis; Log-normal distribution; Maintenance; Parameter estimation; Power distribution; Power system modeling; Power system reliability; Probability distribution; Power distribution reliability; maintenance; reliability modeling;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Transmission and Distribution Conference and Exposition: Latin America, 2008 IEEE/PES
Conference_Location
Bogota
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-2217-3
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-2218-0
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/TDC-LA.2008.4641851
Filename
4641851
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