Title :
Corporate Financial Distress Prediction Based on Ensemble Learning
Author :
Wang, Yu ; Xiao, Hongshan
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Econ. & Bus. Adm., Chongqing Univ., Chongqing, China
Abstract :
In order to decrease the uncertainty and instability of single classifiers in corporate financial distress prediction, this paper proposes a prediction model based on ensemble learning. The proposed approach first establishes different predictor systems by randomly partitioning dataset and applying feature selection techniques, and then constructs different classifiers based on different predictor systems. At last, these classifiers are combined for corporate financial distress prediction. In the empirical study, logistic regression and support vector machine are employed as the basic classifiers. The experimental results on 300 corporations listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchange show the accuracy and advantage of the proposed prediction model.
Keywords :
financial data processing; financial management; learning (artificial intelligence); logistics; organisational aspects; pattern classification; regression analysis; support vector machines; classifier; corporate financial distress prediction; dataset partitioning; ensemble learning; feature selection; logistic regression; prediction model; predictor system; support vector machine; Accuracy; Error analysis; Logistics; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Training; ensemble learning; financial distress prediction; logistic regression; support vector machine;
Conference_Titel :
Business Computing and Global Informatization (BCGIN), 2011 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Shanghai
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4577-0788-9
Electronic_ISBN :
978-0-7695-4464-9
DOI :
10.1109/BCGIn.2011.27