DocumentCode :
3064821
Title :
Should Normal Distribution be Normal? The Student´s T Alternative
Author :
Bartkowiak, Anna
Author_Institution :
Univ. of Wroclaw, Wroclaw
fYear :
2007
fDate :
28-30 June 2007
Firstpage :
3
Lastpage :
8
Abstract :
In the paper we try to answer, whether the Gaussian distribution - called widely the ´normal´ distribution - is really basic, natural and normal. In particular, we investigate how the above statement conforms with the distribution of real data, namely daily returns of some stock indexes. It was the authors former experience that, when looking at the distributions of real data, it was very difficult to find there a ´normal´, i.e. Gaussian distribution. The data, by their nature, are heterogeneous. If so, then the data should be modelled taking into account their possible heterogeneity. This can be done using mixture models - with mixtures composed from finite or infinite number of components. Students´ T (univariate or multivariate) is one prominent example of distributions which may be obtained as a mixture of infinitesimal number of Gaussian distributions. The considerations are illustrated by an example of application to financial time series, namely daily returns of the indexes WIG20 and S&P500. We show, why the normality (i.e. ´Gaussianity´) should be rejected and why the ´t´ distribution is plausible.
Keywords :
Gaussian distribution; normal distribution; stock markets; Gaussian distribution; S&P500; WIG20; financial time series; mixture models; normal distribution; stock indexes; student T alternative; Computer industry; Computer science; Gaussian distribution; Gaussian processes; Least squares methods; Management information systems; Orbital calculations; Orbits; Probability distribution; Testing;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Computer Information Systems and Industrial Management Applications, 2007. CISIM '07. 6th International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Minneapolis, MN
Print_ISBN :
0-7695-2894-5
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/CISIM.2007.59
Filename :
4273487
Link To Document :
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