DocumentCode
3070057
Title
Energy storage sizing for office buildings based on short-term load forecasting
Author
Xiaohui Yan ; Haisheng Chen ; Xuehui Zhang ; Chunqing Tan
Author_Institution
Inst. of Eng. Thermophys., Beijing, China
fYear
2012
fDate
27-29 Sept. 2012
Firstpage
290
Lastpage
295
Abstract
This paper presents a three-layer Artificial Neural Network as the short-term load forecasting model adopting the fastest back-propagation algorithm with robustness, i.e., Levenberg-Marquardt optimization, and moreover, the momentum factor is considered during the learning process. Based on predicted data by aforementioned model, size determination of energy storage system in terms of power rating and capacity is undertaken according to the desired level of shaving peak demand. The illustrative example in reference to the weather and power load data of office building from July to August in 2011 gets the results that the average relative error -0.7% and the root-mean-square error 2.79% which show aforementioned forecasting model can work effectively with the attractive percentage, i.e. 87.5%, of error within the acceptable one 2.79%; Furthermore, size determination of energy storage system adopting battery energy storage technology, i.e. 7.03kW/36.42kWh, is carried out to meet the desired peak shaving demand.
Keywords
backpropagation; energy storage; load forecasting; mean square error methods; neural nets; power engineering computing; Levenberg-Marquardt optimization; back-propagation algorithm; battery energy storage technology; energy storage sizing; energy storage system; learning process; office buildings; peak shaving demand; power load data; power rating; root-mean-square error; short-term load forecasting; three-layer artificial neural network; Artificial neural networks; Buildings; Energy storage; Forecasting; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Predictive models;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Information and Automation for Sustainability (ICIAfS), 2012 IEEE 6th International Conference on
Conference_Location
Beijing
Print_ISBN
978-1-4673-1976-8
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICIAFS.2012.6419919
Filename
6419919
Link To Document