Title :
Prediction of Energy Consumption in Jiangsu Based on Combination Model
Author :
Chen, Jibo ; Huang, Xiaorong ; Li, Jie ; Wang, Guizhi
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Math. & Phys., Nanjing Univ. of Inf. Sci. & Technol., Nanjing, China
Abstract :
This paper first analyzes the construction and trend of the energy consumption in Jiangsu. And then a non-linear forecasting model and an ARMIMA model are established based on energy consumption data from 1985 to 2007. The two methods are connected to build a combination forecasting model. Finally the prediction results of the new model of future energy consumption are analyzed. The combination model shows a high credibility in prediction.
Keywords :
autoregressive moving average processes; energy consumption; ARMIMA model; Jiangsu; combination forecasting model; energy consumption prediction; nonlinear forecasting model; Demand forecasting; Economic forecasting; Educational institutions; Energy consumption; Load forecasting; Mathematical model; Mathematics; Physics computing; Predictive models; Synthetic aperture sonar; ARIMA model; combination forecasting; energy consumption; non-linear forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Information and Computing (ICIC), 2010 Third International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Wuxi, Jiang Su
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7081-5
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7082-2
DOI :
10.1109/ICIC.2010.298
