Title :
The Quantitative Evaluation on the Direct Economic Loss Induced by Tropical Cyclones
Author :
Chen, Yunfeng ; Gao, Ge
Author_Institution :
Nanjing Univ. of Inf. Sci. & Technol., Nanjing, China
Abstract :
The evaluation model of the direct economic loss induced by tropical cyclones make landfall over China is discussed. With the observations of tropical cyclones and the socio-economic statistical data during the period from 2004 to 2008, three elements-- the disaster causes, the bearing capacity and the prevention capacity are taken into account to the model which is used by multiple regression methods. The results show that (1) it is reasonable to use those three predictors to build the assessment model, (2) the obtained model can provide a good forecast of the direct economic loss, and (3) this model has a potential value in operation.
Keywords :
disasters; meteorology; regression analysis; socio-economic effects; bearing capacity element; direct economic loss; disaster cause element; multiple regression methods; prevention capacity element; quantitative evaluation; socio-economic statistical data; tropical cyclones; Economic forecasting; Floods; Information science; Meteorology; Power generation economics; Predictive models; Terrain factors; Tornadoes; Tropical cyclones; Wind forecasting; Tropical cyclones; evaluation and forecasting model; multiple regression; the direct economic loss;
Conference_Titel :
Information and Computing (ICIC), 2010 Third International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Wuxi, Jiang Su
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7081-5
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7082-2
DOI :
10.1109/ICIC.2010.304
