Title :
A neural-network-based forecasting algorithm for retail industry
Author :
Gao, Yue-Fang ; Liang, Yong-Sheng ; Liu, Ying ; Zhan, Shao-bin ; Ou, Zhi-Wei
Author_Institution :
Shenzhen Inst. of Inf. Technol., Shenzhen, China
Abstract :
To obtain the inherent laws from large amounts of data records in retail industry and to provide valuable information for retailers, this paper presents a neural-network-based forecasting algorithm, which adopts Holt-Winters´ model and a neural network. Different from traditional forecasting algorithms, this algorithm rearranges Holt-Winters model, and builds a neural network on it. Furthermore, it puts forward a training algorithm to optimize the adjustable neural network weights by minimizing a defined cost function, which has greatly improved the forecasting accuracy. Experimental results at the end of this paper also prove the superiorities.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; learning (artificial intelligence); neural nets; retail data processing; Holt-Winters model; cost function; data records; neural network-based forecasting algorithm; retail industry; training algorithm; Costs; Cybernetics; Demand forecasting; Information analysis; Machine learning; Machine learning algorithms; Marketing and sales; Neural networks; Predictive models; Technology forecasting; Forecasting algorithm; Holt-Winters´ model; Neural network; Retail industry;
Conference_Titel :
Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 2009 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Baoding
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3702-3
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3703-0
DOI :
10.1109/ICMLC.2009.5212392