DocumentCode
3096364
Title
Chaos theory in technology forecasting
Author
Wang, Clement ; Liu, Xuanrui ; Xu, Daoling
Author_Institution
Dept. of Bus. Policy, Nat. Univ. of Singapore, Singapore
fYear
1999
fDate
36373
Firstpage
357
Abstract
The authors describe how chaos theory can be used in technological forecasting. The paper proposes that technology evolutions be regarded as a nonlinear process exhibiting bifurcation, transient chaos and order state. It also examines the utility of this approach by introducing artificial neural networks and drawing implications for managerial decision making needs
Keywords
bifurcation; chaos; research and development management; technological forecasting; R&D; artificial neural networks; bifurcation; chaos theory; managerial decision making needs; nonlinear process; order state; technology evolutions; technology forecasting; transient chaos; Artificial neural networks; Bifurcation; Chaos; Decision making; High performance computing; Joining processes; Paper technology; Profitability; Technological innovation; Technology forecasting;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Management of Engineering and Technology, 1999. Technology and Innovation Management. PICMET '99. Portland International Conference on
Conference_Location
Portland, OR
Print_ISBN
1-890843-02-4
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/PICMET.1999.787827
Filename
787827
Link To Document