• DocumentCode
    3102600
  • Title

    The application of space-time ARIMA model on traffic flow forecasting

  • Author

    Lin, Shu-lan ; Huang, Hong-qiong ; Zhu, Da-qi ; Wang, Tian-zhen

  • Author_Institution
    Coll. of Inf. Eng., Shanghai Maritime Univ., Shanghai, China
  • Volume
    6
  • fYear
    2009
  • fDate
    12-15 July 2009
  • Firstpage
    3408
  • Lastpage
    3412
  • Abstract
    Traffic flow data are in the form of spatial time series and are collected at specific locations at constant intervals of time. Space-time autoregressive time series modeling is a promising inductive method that uses a small number of parameters and can be used for online monitoring and prediction. In this paper, we develop space-time autoregressive models for urban traffic flow network scenarios. We evaluate the ability of the space-time autoregressive models to model the spatial and temporal correlations in the traffic network and show that the space-time model performs well.
  • Keywords
    autoregressive moving average processes; directed graphs; forecasting theory; road traffic; time series; transportation; autoregressive model; directed graph; inductive method; online monitoring; space-time ARIMA model; spatial time series; temporal correlation; urban traffic flow forecasting; Constraint theory; Cybernetics; Data engineering; Educational institutions; Machine learning; Predictive models; Random variables; Telecommunication traffic; Traffic control; Vectors; Forecasting; Intelligent Transport Systems; STARIMA; Traffic flow network;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 2009 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Baoding
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-3702-3
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-3703-0
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICMLC.2009.5212785
  • Filename
    5212785