Title :
A hybrid model for short-term wind speed forecasting based on wavelet and Support Vector Machine
Author :
Chen Ni-ya ; Qian Zheng ; Meng Xiao-feng
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Instrum. Sci. & Opto-Electron. Eng., Beihang Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
Accurate wind speed/power forecasts are necessary for the safety and economy of the renewable energy utilization. The wind speed forecasts can be obtained by statistical model based on historical data. In this paper, a new hybrid model is proposed based on the wavelet method and Support Vector Machine (SVM) method. The new w-SVM model is applied to obtain several-hours-ahead wind speed. The simulation results indicate that the w-SVM model has a better performance in forecasting accuracy comparing to the SVM model and other classical time series model.
Keywords :
power engineering computing; power generation planning; support vector machines; wavelet transforms; wind; wind power plants; hybrid model; renewable energy utilization economy; renewable energy utilization safety; several hours ahead wind speed; short term wind speed forecasting; support vector machine; wavelet method; Hybrid model; Support vector machine; Wavelet method; Wind speed forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Renewable Power Generation (RPG 2011), IET Conference on
Conference_Location :
Edinburgh
DOI :
10.1049/cp.2011.0221