Title : 
Decision-making with interval probabilities
         
        
            Author : 
Guo, Peijun ; Tanaka, Hideo
         
        
            Author_Institution : 
Fac. of Bus. Adm., Yokohama Nat. Univ., Yokohama
         
        
        
        
        
        
            Abstract : 
In recent years, dealing with uncertainty using interval probabilities is receiving considerable attention by researchers. Most of researches related to interval probabilities, such as combination, marginalization, condition, Bayesian inferences, assume interval probabilities are known. How to elicit interval probabilities from subject is a basic problem for the applications of interval probability theory and till now a computational challenge. In this research, the approaches for estimating interval probabilities are proposed with the pair-wise comparison of the possible outcomes to know which one is more likely to occur. The first method is LP-based one. The second method is QP-based one. Interval expectation, interval entropy are investigated. The decision criteria under interval probabilities are given.
         
        
            Keywords : 
Bayes methods; decision making; decision theory; entropy; linear programming; probability; quadratic programming; AHP; Bayesian inference; decision making; interval entropy; interval probability theory; linear programming method; quadratic programming method; Bayesian methods; Decision making; Entropy; Linear programming; Mathematical programming; Psychology; Quadratic programming; Uncertainty; Upper bound; AHP; decision analysis; interval probabilities; linear programming problem; quadratic programming problem;
         
        
        
        
            Conference_Titel : 
Systems, Man and Cybernetics, 2008. SMC 2008. IEEE International Conference on
         
        
            Conference_Location : 
Singapore
         
        
        
            Print_ISBN : 
978-1-4244-2383-5
         
        
            Electronic_ISBN : 
1062-922X
         
        
        
            DOI : 
10.1109/ICSMC.2008.4811540