DocumentCode :
3114196
Title :
Decision-making with interval probabilities
Author :
Guo, Peijun ; Tanaka, Hideo
Author_Institution :
Fac. of Bus. Adm., Yokohama Nat. Univ., Yokohama
fYear :
2008
fDate :
12-15 Oct. 2008
Firstpage :
1743
Lastpage :
1747
Abstract :
In recent years, dealing with uncertainty using interval probabilities is receiving considerable attention by researchers. Most of researches related to interval probabilities, such as combination, marginalization, condition, Bayesian inferences, assume interval probabilities are known. How to elicit interval probabilities from subject is a basic problem for the applications of interval probability theory and till now a computational challenge. In this research, the approaches for estimating interval probabilities are proposed with the pair-wise comparison of the possible outcomes to know which one is more likely to occur. The first method is LP-based one. The second method is QP-based one. Interval expectation, interval entropy are investigated. The decision criteria under interval probabilities are given.
Keywords :
Bayes methods; decision making; decision theory; entropy; linear programming; probability; quadratic programming; AHP; Bayesian inference; decision making; interval entropy; interval probability theory; linear programming method; quadratic programming method; Bayesian methods; Decision making; Entropy; Linear programming; Mathematical programming; Psychology; Quadratic programming; Uncertainty; Upper bound; AHP; decision analysis; interval probabilities; linear programming problem; quadratic programming problem;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Systems, Man and Cybernetics, 2008. SMC 2008. IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Singapore
ISSN :
1062-922X
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2383-5
Electronic_ISBN :
1062-922X
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICSMC.2008.4811540
Filename :
4811540
Link To Document :
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