Title :
Building a fuzzy multi-objective portfolio selection model with distinct risk measurements
Author :
Li, You ; Wang, Bo ; Watada, Junzo
Author_Institution :
Grad. Sch. of Inf., Production & Syst., Waseda Univ., Kitakyushu, Japan
Abstract :
Based on portfolio selection theory, this study pro poses an improved fuzzy multi-objective model that can evaluate the invest risk exactly and increase the probability of obtaining the expected return. In building the model, fuzzy Value-at-Risk (VaR) is used to evaluate the exact future risk, in term of loss. The VaR can directly reflect the greatest loss of a selection case under a given confidence level. On the other hand, variance is utilized to make the selection more stable. This model can provide investors with more significant information in decision-making. To better solve this model, an improved particle swarm optimization algorithm is designed to mitigate the conventional local convergence problem. Finally, the proposed model and algorithm are exemplified by some numerical examples. Experiment results show that the model and algorithm are effective in solving the multi-objective portfolio selection problem.
Keywords :
decision making; fuzzy set theory; investment; particle swarm optimisation; risk analysis; VaR; decision-making; distinct risk measurements; fuzzy multi objective portfolio selection model; fuzzy value-at-risk; local convergence problem; particle swarm optimization algorithm; Entropy; Mathematical model; Numerical models; Optimization; Portfolios; Reactive power; Security; Fuzzy multi-objective portfolio selection model; fuzzy Value-at-Risk; fuzzy simulation; fuzzy variable; improved particle swarm optimization;
Conference_Titel :
Fuzzy Systems (FUZZ), 2011 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Taipei
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7315-1
Electronic_ISBN :
1098-7584
DOI :
10.1109/FUZZY.2011.6007314