• DocumentCode
    3122950
  • Title

    Conditional Prediction Intervals for Linear Regression

  • Author

    McCullagh, Peter ; Vovk, Vladimir ; Nouretdinov, Ilia ; Devetyarov, Dmitry ; Gammerman, Alex

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Stat., Univ. of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA
  • fYear
    2009
  • fDate
    13-15 Dec. 2009
  • Firstpage
    131
  • Lastpage
    138
  • Abstract
    We construct prediction intervals for the linear regression model with IID errors with a known distribution, not necessarily Gaussian. The coverage probability of our prediction intervals is equal to the nominal confidence level not only unconditionally but also conditionally given a natural sigma-algebra of invariant events. This implies, in particular, the perfect calibration of our prediction intervals in the on-line mode of prediction.
  • Keywords
    regression analysis; IID errors; conditional prediction intervals; invariant events; linear regression; natural sigma-algebra; perfect calibration; Application software; Distributed computing; Error analysis; Linear regression; Machine learning; Predictive models; Probability; State estimation; Statistics; Testing; Markov chain Monte Carlo; conditional inference; linear regression; prediction intervals;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Machine Learning and Applications, 2009. ICMLA '09. International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Miami Beach, FL
  • Print_ISBN
    978-0-7695-3926-3
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICMLA.2009.115
  • Filename
    5381815